Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000088 0.000098 0.000108 0.000120 0.000133 0.000146 0.000163
2026-02-08 0.000073 0.000086 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000162 0.000191
2026-02-15 0.000063 0.000078 0.000095 0.000117 0.000145 0.000178 0.000221
2026-02-22 0.000055 0.000071 0.000091 0.000117 0.000151 0.000194 0.000253
2026-03-01 0.000049 0.000065 0.000086 0.000116 0.000156 0.000208 0.000283
2026-03-08 0.000044 0.000061 0.000084 0.000117 0.000163 0.000225 0.000318
2026-03-15 0.000040 0.000058 0.000081 0.000117 0.000168 0.000241 0.000353
2026-03-22 0.000037 0.000054 0.000078 0.000116 0.000172 0.000254 0.000385
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000052 0.000077 0.000118 0.000180 0.000274 0.000428
2026-04-05 0.000032 0.000049 0.000075 0.000118 0.000185 0.000289 0.000465
2026-04-12 0.000029 0.000047 0.000073 0.000117 0.000189 0.000303 0.000501
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000044 0.000071 0.000117 0.000193 0.000317 0.000538
2026-04-26 0.000025 0.000042 0.000069 0.000117 0.000198 0.000334 0.000582
2026-05-03 0.000023 0.000040 0.000067 0.000115 0.000200 0.000345 0.000618
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000038 0.000065 0.000114 0.000203 0.000359 0.000661
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000036 0.000064 0.000114 0.000208 0.000377 0.000711
2026-05-24 0.000019 0.000035 0.000062 0.000113 0.000210 0.000390 0.000753
2026-05-31 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000114 0.000216 0.000410 0.000811
2026-06-07 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000114 0.000221 0.000428 0.000867
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000224 0.000442 0.000916
2026-06-21 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000115 0.000232 0.000468 0.000991
2026-06-28 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000115 0.000237 0.000486 0.001053
2026-07-05 0.000014 0.000028 0.000055 0.000114 0.000240 0.000502 0.001110